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How Inflation Could Affect Multi-Asset-Class Portfolios
Mar 3, 2021 Thomas Verbraken , Daniel SzaboReal Estate Investing , Fixed Income , Global Investing , Integrated Risk Management
Learn MoreMarket participants are hotly debating whether U.S. monetary and fiscal policy may cause inflation. We consider four scenarios — reflation, disinflation, an overheated economy and stagflation — and their potential impact on multi-asset-class portfolios.
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How Have Stocks Responded to Changes in Climate Policy?
Mar 1, 2021 Guido Giese , Zoltán Nagy , Bruno RauisESG Research , Global Investing
Learn MoreTo what extent has climate risk been priced into equity markets? Is there a “brown” discount and a “green” premium? Has this shifted over time? How can we model such risks as the world moves toward net-zero targets? We examine the financial impact of climate transition risk on global equity markets.
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Factoring in ESG
Feb 26, 2021 Guillermo Cano , Simon MinovitskyESG Research , Factor Investing , Factors
Learn MoreHow much does ESG contribute to portfolio risk and return? We looked at whether ESG performance was influenced by other factors or helped explain returns as a factor in its own right, using the MSCI Global Equity Factor Model + ESG.
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Finding the Sentiment Hidden in Regulatory Filings
Feb 24, 2021 Vipul Jain , Kunal Jha Learn MoreUsing natural language processing techniques, we constructed a sentiment factor that quantifies changes in the tone and content of company filings, and may be an indicator of future risks facing a company.
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BLOG
Climate Transition and Bonds: Risk or Opportunity?
Feb 23, 2021 Bruno Rauis , Juan Sampieri , Andy SparksESG Research , Fixed Income , Risk Management
Learn MoreThe transition to a low-carbon economy could significantly redirect the flow of investments toward greener companies and technologies that limit carbon emissions. We consider the potential risk — and opportunity — for bond investors.
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BLOG
Currency-Risk Hedging in Real Estate Benchmarks
Feb 22, 2021 Bert Teuben , Lionel Ebener , Chirag GosarReal Estate Investing , Risk Management , Global Investing
Learn MoreGlobal real estate investors can expose themselves to currency risk. Using a hedged index, they may better align their benchmark and investment approach and ensure currency risk is accurately treated in allocation modeling and performance attribution.
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BLOG
A New COVID-19 Regime for MBS?
Feb 17, 2021 Yihai Yu , Miklós VörösFixed Income , Integrated Risk Management
Learn MoreIn 2020, the Federal Reserve’s purchases of mortgage-backed securities, low interest rates, mortgage-underwriting policy changes and technology advancements led to a historic refinance frenzy and posed an unprecedented challenge for MBS risk management.
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How does one identify or quantify a bubble? We propose a framework for assessing the “bubbliness” of stocks and portfolios, rooted in the idea that bubbles are driven by the same forces, and share characteristics with crowded trades.
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BLOG
Cross-Currency Credit Spreads: Mind the Gap
Feb 8, 2021 Michael Hayes , Zach TokuraFixed Income , Risk Management
Learn MoreAn issuer’s credit spread should be consistent when measured in the USD- or EUR-denominated markets, because both are measuring the same credit risk. Yet divergence can occur as a result of liquidity or supply-demand imbalances, such as those in the COVID crisis.
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BLOG
How Are High-ESG-Rated Bond Portfolios Distinct?
Feb 5, 2021 Hitendra D Varsani , Rohit Mendiratta , Guido GieseFixed Income , Risk Management , ESG Research
Learn MoreESG investing makes up an increasingly large footprint in equity portfolios, but ESG integration in bond portfolios is still in its early days. We examine the characteristics that make high-ESG-rated corporate-bond portfolios distinct.
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