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  1. BLOG

    The coronavirus epidemic: Implications for markets 

    Feb 12, 2020 Zhen Wei , Jun Wang , Thomas Verbraken

    Economic Exposure , Emerging Markets , Factor Investing , Fixed Income , Global Investing , Risk Management

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    The toll from the coronavirus has been felt throughout societies, leading to repercussions on the global economy and financial markets. We examine investor impact through markets’ economic exposures to China and factors and by stress testing portfolios.

  2. BLOG

    Stress testing US-China trade wars 

    Oct 22, 2019 Thomas Verbraken , Anikó Maráz

    Emerging Markets , Fixed Income , Global Investing , Risk Management

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    Amid ongoing U.S.-China trade tension, we have updated our stress test to consider three scenarios for how the situation could unfold — and their impact on currency, bond and equity markets around the world.

  3. BLOG

    Stress testing Brexit: Deal or no deal? 

    Oct 9, 2019 Anikó Maráz , Thomas Verbraken

    Global Investing , Models/Client Cases , Risk Management

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    Brexit has roiled markets since U.K. voters chose “leave” in the June 2016 referendum. We used our stress-testing model to examine how markets could react to deal and no-deal scenarios.

  4. BLOG

    Three scenarios for Fed rate cuts 

    Jul 23, 2019 Andy Sparks , Thomas Verbraken

    Economic Exposure , Fixed Income , Models/Client Cases

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    A consensus has emerged that the Federal Reserve will lower rates in the coming months, but investors remain uncertain over the timing and magnitude of the cuts. What impact could three rate-cut scenarios have on markets?

  5. BLOG

    The risk in risk-parity strategies 

    Mar 13, 2019 Thomas Verbraken

    Fixed Income , Integrated Risk Management

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    The relationship between bonds and equities may be especially important to investors who employ a risk-parity approach. In our analysis, as the bond-equity correlation turned strongly positive, the effect on risk-parity portfolios was much greater than that on traditional 60/40 equity/bond portfolios.

  6. BLOG

    What would a “No deal” Brexit mean for markets? 

    Jan 17, 2019 Thomas Verbraken

    Global Investing , Integrated Risk Management

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    Financial markets are increasingly edgy about prospects for the U.K. Parliament’s expected Dec. 11 vote on a Brexit deal with the European Union.

  7. BLOG

    Is the bond-equity hedge slipping away? 

    Nov 1, 2018 Michael Hayes , Thomas Verbraken

    Equity Themes , Fixed Income , Integrated Risk Management

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    In October, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hit a 7-year high in response to strong economic news, contributing to the second major equity sell-off this year.1 If positive moves in yield continue to drive down equities, this would mean an end to the hedge between stocks and bonds that has been in effect since around 2002. Investors may seek alternative means of diversification, with potentially deep ramifications for strategic asset allocation decisions and multi-asset class strategies.

  8. BLOG

    Are Argentina and Turkey just the first dominoes to fall? 

    Oct 17, 2018 Limin Xiao , Thomas Verbraken

    Emerging Markets , Fixed Income , Risk Management , Integrated Risk Management

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    Argentina and Turkey have experienced sharp corrections in their currency and debt markets over the past couple of months, leading investors to worry about possible contagion to other emerging-market (EM) countries. Are other emerging markets heading in the same direction?