2Q26 Voluntary Carbon Market in Review

The second quarter of 2026 comes at an important moment for carbon markets. The Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA) Phase 1 is in its final compliance year, Article 6 authorization is emerging as a structural constraint on eligible supply, and buyer attention is shifting toward a fast-growing class of super-pollutant projects as scrutiny of other credit types intensifies.

In our quarterly webinar, our experts provide a data-driven breakdown of:

• Q2 market dynamics: How pricing, issuance, and retirement trends are evolving as the market heads into the second half of 2026 

• Article 6 and CORSIA supply outlook: Drawing on our latest forecasting work, we examine how host-country authorization dynamics are shaping eligible volumes into Phase 2 and where the demand-supply gap is likely to be most acute 

• Super-pollutants in focus: With carbon dioxide removal (CDR) delivery risk under heightened scrutiny and buyer sentiment shifting, super-pollutant projects are attracting growing interest. We examine what our ratings data show about integrity across methane, hydrofluorocarbon (HFC), and related project types 

• The road ahead: What to watch in H2 2026 as CORSIA Phase 2 rulemaking advances and the market continues to separate based on credit quality