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Joy Zhang

Joy Zhang
Executive Director, MSCI Research

About the Contributor

Joy Zhang is an Executive Director and Head of Non-Agency Securitization Research. Previously, Joy was a Director at Credit Suisse, responsible for mortgage collateral and regulatory modeling for securitized products trading. She also has worked as a senior developer at Goldman Sachs responsible for developing a firm-wide risk management system. Joy has an M.S. in Computational Finance from the Carnegie Mellon University and a Ph.D. in Chemistry from University of Kansas.

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Blog posts by Joy Zhang

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  1. BLOG

    Can AI Model the Complexities of MBS Prepayment? 

    May 29, 2020 Joy Zhang , Yini Yang

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    Machine learning using neural networks has been successfully applied to fields in which extremely complex patterns can prove challenging for other algorithms. Are neural networks suited for modeling prepayment risk in agency mortgage-backed securities?

  2. BLOG

    Consumer ABS Under Coronavirus in the US and China 

    May 11, 2020 Yini Yang , Jian Chen , Joy Zhang

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    Beyond COVID-19’s steep human toll, the pandemic’s disruption of economic life has led to widespread loss of income and impaired some borrowers’ ability to repay loans. What could the impact be for investors in consumer asset-backed securities in the U.S. and China?

  3. BLOG

    Could coronavirus depress US housing prices? 

    Apr 15, 2020 Yihai Yu , Joy Zhang

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    The large economic shocks unleashed by the coronavirus pandemic could be comparable to or even exceed those of the 2008 global financial crisis (GFC). We used our models to assess whether these shocks could hurt U.S. housing prices as much as the GFC did.

  4. BLOG

    MBS prepayment modeling: AI 1, Humans 0? 

    Sep 27, 2019 David Zhang , Joy Zhang

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    Artificial intelligence has broken through in fields previously dominated by humans. Could AI surpass humans in modeling the complex risks of agency mortgage-backed securities?

  5. BLOG

    MBS investors: quantitative easing déjà vu? 

    Sep 5, 2019 Joy Zhang

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    Despite the Fed’s silence on the matter, the MBS market may be indicating that a new round of QE is coming.

  6. BLOG

    Are Subprime Auto Loans at a Tipping Point? 

    Mar 4, 2019 Joy Zhang , Yini Yang

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    Investors and the media have lately turned their attention to credit risk in U.S. subprime automotive lending — concerns that increased during the recent market volatility.

  7. BLOG

    Is MBS refinance risk increasing? 

    Oct 12, 2018 Joy Zhang

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    With the Federal Reserve raising interest rates and the majority of agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) under the refinance threshold, how much do investors need to worry about refinance risk? Our model indicates that future refinance regimes would be similar to recent 2016 experiences, and this view is consistent with current behavior of MBS empirical durations. However, investors may want to remain vigilant, as the recent trend toward looser mortgage credit standards by agencies and regulators could increase the prepayment intensity of future refinance waves.

  8. BLOG

    As credit risk rises, beware of selection bias in CLOs 

    Jun 1, 2018 Joy Zhang

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    Investors in the booming U.S. Collateralized Loan Obligation (CLO) market likely need to be aware of the risks: record tight spreads, deteriorating credit quality, and, as our expanded CLO data analytics reveal, selection bias risk.

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