Author Details

Nilufar Kuchimova

Nilufar Kuchimova
Analyst, MSCI Research

Ahasan Amin

Ahasan Amin
Analyst, MSCI Research

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Are SPACs Riskier than Conventional IPOs?

  • While “blank check” special purpose acquisition companies (SPACs) have certain advantages over conventional IPOs, the risks involved for investors are more complex, ambiguous and less transparent.
  • SPAC combination companies (created via mergers between a SPAC and a typically private, operating company), were much more likely to be managed by a controlling shareholder than conventional IPOs.
  • In most other regards, however, investors in these SPAC combination companies faced essentially the same corporate governance risks as investors in any other recent IPO.

Investor interest in special purpose acquisition companies (SPACs) exploded in 2020, fueling a boom in “blank-check” shell initial public offerings (IPOs). SPACs are created by a management team with no business operations, solely to raise capital to acquire a (typically private) operating company. While SPACs have some advantages in being able to go public more quickly and inexpensively, and with far less regulatory or investor scrutiny, we found that investors may face additional risks in investing in SPACs before they acquire their targets. However, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is starting to level the playing field with other forms of public offerings.1

In 2020 alone, there were at least 248 SPAC IPOs, which was more than the total number of SPAC IPOs over the last decade.2 In 2021, however, SPAC fever has begun to cool, at least partly in response to the SEC’s actions.

 

SPAC Combination Companies vs. Conventional IPOs

Of the 265 constituents of the MSCI USA Investable Market Index (IMI) that had an IPO between Jan. 1, 2018, and Dec. 31, 2020, only 23 began trading as a result of SPAC combinations.3

Post-combination, former SPACs were almost twice as likely to have a controlling shareholder, as opposed to conventional IPO companies: 48% had a shareholder with effective voting control (vs. 28%), 43% had at least one principal shareholder, holding 10% or more of the vote but less than a controlling share (vs. 58%) and only 9% were widely held (vs. 14%).

 

Comparing Ownership of SPACs vs. Conventional IPOs

Source: MSCI ESG Research LLC

That said, former SPACs scored slightly higher in MSCI ESG Research’s corporate governance methodology, with an average score of 6.1 vs. 5.7 for non-SPAC IPO companies. We found that post-combination, investors in former SPACs faced broadly similar governance risks, with similar levels of board independence and other key governance measures, as investors in conventional U.S. IPO companies.

Prior to combination, however, SPACs face a unique set of risks. We considered the typical SPAC ”life cycle:” What possibly could go wrong?

 

Life Cycle of a SPAC

The SPAC’s life cycle begins with the creation and listing of a “blank-check” shell company, with the intention of acquiring an as-yet-unidentified private-operating company. The SPAC sponsor provides the initial seed capital, typically a nominal amount of USD 25,000, in exchange for equity in the form of founder shares (generally referred to as the “promote”); this is equal to 20% of the SPAC’s post-IPO equity.

Unlike conventional IPOs, SPACs typically offer their initial securities in the form of “units” priced at USD 10. Each unit consists of stock shares plus warrants, which at a later date can be converted into shares at an exercise price of USD 11.50.4

 

Typical SPAC Timeline

Source: MSCI ESG Research LLC

Typically, the SPAC has 24 months to find a target acquisition.5 If no combination occurs, the SPAC can then “wind down” and shareholders get their money back, but the sponsor loses the initial investment. In practice, this rarely happens. In reality, the SPAC finds its target, shareholders approve the combination and the SPAC is replaced by the newly listed, combined company.

Compared with conventional IPOs, the SPAC-based path to listing typically is more streamlined, can be executed more cheaply and quickly and can often give investors access to potentially high-growth investment opportunities much earlier in their development cycle.

 

Dilution and Misaligned Interests: Sponsors vs. Investors

But the devil is in the details. Investors in SPACs face a variety of risks:

  • The promote gives the sponsor some huge advantages which can result in dilution of other investors’ shares and can create other misalignments of interests. For example, the sponsor has a strong incentive to actually complete an acquisition, even absent an optimal target. In addition, warrants can be created to represent whole or fractional shares, they can be public or private placements and redemptions can be set to occur at IPO or just prior to combination. Further, the need to raise additional capital to complete the combination can be addressed via a number of complex arrangements, including the use of private investment in public equity agreements (PIPES). All of these options can further dilute the original SPAC investors’ shares.
  • Most importantly, SPAC sponsors have almost complete discretion to set the SPAC’s valuation, with investors simply along for the ride, a complete departure from conventional IPOs, where valuations are investor driven. In the chart below we examine how well sponsors fared post combination at the 23 SPAC-based combination companies we studied.

 

SPAC-Sponsor ‘Promote’ Shares Post Combination

 

Additional data presented derived from each company’s SEC filings. Source: MSCI ESG Research LLC

 

Conclusion

While we found little to differentiate between SPACs post-combination and conventional IPO companies in terms of their governance risk, the same cannot be said for the SPACs on which the former were built. SPAC foundations may be hidden but they underpin investments.
 

The authors thank Ric Marshall for his contributions to this post.

 

1The SEC has cautioned against the use of forward-looking statements made by SPACs and issued a statement in April 2021 stating that SPAC warrants should be treated as liabilities rather than equity. The SEC has outlined its key concerns in a separate bulletin to investors. “What You Need to Know About SPACs — Updated Investor Bulletin.” May 25, 2021.

2SPAC IPO Transactions Statistics — Summary by Year. SPACInsider

3For the 23 SPACs, we used the business combination date instead of the SPAC-vehicle listing date, due to the lack of business and commercial operations of SPACs at the initial listing stage.

4Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC). corporatefinanceinstitute.com

5The SPAC prospectus defines the timeline for the SPAC to complete an acquisition.

 

 

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