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The MSCI Macro-Finance Model

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The MSCI Macro-Finance Model

Oct 21, 2024

We introduce a framework to understand the financial markets through a macroeconomic lens. We relate cash flows and discount rates to common drivers across asset classes, horizons and regimes, in order to inform capital market assumptions, risk management, systematic strategies and asset-allocation decisions. The MSCI Macro-Finance Model provides a unified framework to understand the return and risk of multi-asset-class portfolios.

A macro-finance framework linking risk and returns

A macro-finance framework linking risk and returns


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Research authors

  • Peter Shepard, Managing Director, MSCI Research
  • Chenlu Zhou, Executive Director, MSCI Research
  • Will Baker, Vice President, MSCI Research
  • John Burke, Executive Director, MSCI Research

The MSCI Macro-Finance Model

MSCI Macro Finance Analyzer

Evaluate the effect of different macro scenarios on long-term risk and expected return on your portfolios.

Learn more

Macro Scenarios in Focus: Hard-Landing Risks Keep Investors on Edge

After the Federal Reserve recently cut rates and indicated that further reductions were likely, the equity market rallied. But sell-offs in August and September signaled investor concerns about an economic slowdown. What are potential outcomes to consider?

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Scenario Analysis: Surging Oil and Energy Prices

Investors might be concerned that escalating unrest in the Middle East could push oil prices higher, as geopolitical risk has once again come into focus for this group. A sustained rise in energy costs may fuel inflation and weigh on economic growth, affecting portfolios.

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