Intro paragraph - Trends 2026 CN

可持续政策与市场表现的差异不断扩大，您是否已为2026年做好应对？

政策环境或有反复，但资本配置正在遵循清晰的经济逻辑演进。MSCI 年度报告《2026 年可持续与气候趋势展望》系统梳理重塑投资回报、风险与资本成本的五大关键趋势，帮助投资者与企业识别真正具备财务重要性、且可落地执行的决策信号。


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Cards - Trends 2026 CN

 

市场正在释放哪些信号:

  • 新能源 v.s. 大盘2025年初至十月底表现
    +45.33% vs +20.67%1

     

  • 到 2050 年，基础设施投资组合中的资产发生因极端天气造成的重大损失的比例预计可能增加至当前的 5 倍2

     

  • 到 2030 年，与气候变化物理风险相关的保费预计可能上升约50%3

     


Body - 2026 trends report CN

在长期气候承诺与政策推进的基础上，中国市场下一阶段的分化关键在于执行力：哪些转型技术具备商业可行性，哪些资产能够承受不断上升的物理气候风险，以及审慎监管预期将如何影响融资条件、估值体系与风险管理实践。

随着全球市场不断重新定价转型机遇与物理风险，理解这些趋势在不同地区与行业中的具体体现，对于识别未来增长点与韧性来源至关重要。

市场正在清晰地传递哪些因素真正具有长期价值。

 

报告精彩亮点

  • 市场如何区分气候转型中的赢家
    哪些低碳技术正在获得发展动能，以及这一趋势如何反映在业绩表现、增长预期与资本配置中。
  • 气候物理风险不可忽视
    更频繁、更严重的极端气候事件如何对基础设施投资组合与私募资产投资组合造成影响。
  • 央行在气候风险监管方面的最新进展
    哪些市场正率先将气候视为核心金融风险，以及这些信号可能如何影响经济增长、资产定价与资本流动。
  • 比起海量数据的堆积，投资人正更加聚焦于具备财务重要性的数据指标
    在披露标准不断扩展的背景下，投资者正从“披露数量”转向关注真正有助于判断风险与机遇的关键指标，以及 AI 如何支持对决策信息的识别效率。

下载MSCI 《2026 年可持续与气候趋势展望》。


footnotes - 2026 trends report CN

  • 1 Source: MSCI Sustainability and Climate In Focus: Trends to Watch for 2026.
    Year-to-date performance through Oct. 31, 2025: MSCI ACWI IMI New Energy Filtered Index +45.33% vs. MSCI ACWI Investable Market Index (IMI) +20.67%.
    Past performance — whether actual, backtested or simulated — is no indication or guarantee of future performance. Any forecasts, projections or predictions are subject to change and may not come to pass. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from expectations. MSCI makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of any such forecasts or projections.
  • 2 Source: MSCI Sustainability and Climate in Focus: Trends to Watch for 2026.
    Based on MSCI analysis of infrastructure assets under a 3°C climate scenario (NGFS REMIND Current Policies), modelling losses from one-in-200-year tropical cyclone events.
    Any forecasts, projections or predictions are subject to change and may not come to pass. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from expectations. MSCI makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of any such forecasts or projections.
  • 3Source: MSCI Sustainability and Climate in Focus: Trends to Watch for 2026, drawing on insurance market analysis and regulatory research referenced therein.
    Any forecasts, projections or predictions are subject to change and may not come to pass. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from expectations. MSCI makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of any such forecasts or projections.